... And We are at WAR

 

A few thoughts...

“I don't believe anything those Mutherfuckers say,” Uncle Bob said in the lead up to the Gulf War. Sadly, he is still right.  I don't believe Israel, I don't believe Iran and I certainly don't believe the United States. So when Trump says the strikes went great, I don't believe him and neither should you. The Iranians are many things, they are not stupid. Most likely they've moved sensitive stuff long before this strike took place. It might be a temporary setback but that's about it. So what are some possible outcomes?

It may depend on how much actual damage was done. A little damage could mean a basically symbolic retaliation. Then, we are basically back to square one. They will continue enriching uranium while others try to get them back to the negotiating table.  This is a Rosie best case scenario. I'm not sure they want to risk an all-out War and the US is certainly not up for that. A better possibility will be asymmetrical attacks all across the Middle East. It looks like we will be fighting the War On Terror 2.0. Remember, you cannot fight a tactic! This will be costly, messy and very expensive. The usual suspects will get rich and the poorest people in the region will pay the price. A large, full-scale war  will only accelerate our demise. Maybe, we too, will become a failed state. But we will not be just not just any failed state, one with lots of nukes! 

I think in the long run this doesn't do Israel any favors either. Sadly, they are almost universally despised in the region. I'm sure some of that hate is warranted. Weakening the United States also weakens them. There may soon come a day when we cannot rush to her aid every time she picks a fight. Being an international pariah is not a long-term solution for safety and stability. Leaders don't live forever and sooner or later change will come.

We must do more than just hope for a better tomorrow. We must do our part to make that a reality. If we can outgrow our own bullshit, we may one day live among the stars. The alternative? We can return to another dark age or perhaps end life altogether.  That would be such a shame.