Wednesday, November 10, 2021

Unlikely Ally?


Businesses, big and small, need freedom to flourish. Hold on, I'm not making a Republican talking point here. They need to be transparent for investors to make good decisions about how to invest. Opaque books should be a big red flag. They need to be free to adjust to changing markets, create better products and know everyone is playing by the same rules. There also must be transparent and fair contract enforcement. This will be impossible under Republican/ Neo-facist rule.

A Trump or Trump protégé will be the one to pick winners and losers. Competition will no longer be the driving force in the business world. It will devolve into who can brown-nose the ruling party the best. What little powers the SEC has now will be stripped away and replaced by favor of the one ruling party. Without openness, the whole game falls apart. We wind up looking like Putin's Russia or worse yet, Kim's North Korea. 

Yes, I'm sure Amazon, Apple, Blackrock and Tesla would do just fine in such a world. They could ride it out bowing to the will of the big man or woman. These would melt into one with the new government and keep chugging right along. But all things end. The end of this marriage would be horrific for humanity. So my question is do enough business types know this? Will they join with the Democratic Party long enough for the sweet, seductive high of Neo-facist / christian nationalist feelings wear off in today's Republican Party? We don't want one party rule via the Democrats either. One party rule is still one party rule.          

Sunday, November 7, 2021

The Coming Climate Catastrophes- Capitalism's Greatest Failure


We have known for at least forty or fifty years humans are causing the Earth to warm and the effects will be catastrophic. Well, here we are; climate change war, crazy weather / fires and islands already disappearing. The poles are melting. The Earth is warming more now than in tens of millions of years. We know this is happening but cannot seem to do much more than sound alarm bells in deaf ears, listen to politicians say they want to do something (with no follow through) and make half-assed agreements. Why? Global Capitalism. 


The Earth says there are limits. Capitalism says no, only unlimited growth. I don't see how these two things can coexist. One way or another, capitalism is going to lose. There are indeed limits and we will have to learn how to live within our means. Different economic systems(s) will develop as we run headlong into reality. No, this does not necessarily mean socialism or communism. I think it will be something new. Capitalism (as we practice it) is blind to anything beyond this quarter's bottom line. There is little to no short-term profit in long term planning or thinking. To placate people, a whole new industry has popped up- pretend environmentalism, Greenwashing. It is the business version of politicians pretending they are actually doing something. In reality they are only trying to preserve the status quo. Your actions, Joe Biden, speak louder than your words. But please tell me again, Boomer Democrats, how your party really cares about climate change! The Republicans don't even pretend to listen to climate science, never have (with one notable exception). There are people thinking the world will be the same, just warmer. The melting icecaps will open new shipping lanes and new paths to profits! The reality will be more messy, a lot more messy. Care for a look?     

Depending on how bad things get, there may no longer be a global system, think local, local and local. One thing is clear. The main issue is the people who run things have most of the wealth and power based on the current system. They have no short term reason to change it. For the short term, they can buy their way out of the consequences of a warming Earth. Longer term, not so much. Who really wants to take a Porsche 911 turbo S across a scorched Mad Max hellscape? Being trapped in a fortified McMansion looks all cool in the movies. A few years in when life is little more than subsistence farming (even if you can farm) one would realize they live in a prison of their own making serving a life sentence. Things like large nation states and multinational conglomerations will disappear as the rule of law becomes a distant memory. I can see a medieval flavor setting in, a strange mix of lords, ladies peasant-types and a dash of high tech.  Every part of the globe will be affected as terrible weather, wars and instability become normal. Oh, and let's not forget about all those nuclear tipped missiles. How long will it take for a climate related war to go nuclear? That would be bad, real bad. Let's try not to find out.

This is usually the part where I say it's up to you and me. No, you and I did not cause climate change. Downsizing your carbon foot print is just a way to let the big polluters off the hook. Still, I'm all about less stuff, driving less and reusing things. No, it's not going to save the planet, just make me feel better. The message I took away from "Planet of The Humans" was not green tech's failures but rather our own failure to question our fossil fuel based lives. I'm not giving up my car, heat in the winter. cold A/C in the summer or eating fruits from South America. There are very few people willing and able to completely change their lifestyles. This is going to be bad. The only question is how bad? 


                       

    

Wednesday, November 3, 2021

Criminally Negligent Follow-up

 


We can watch the two level justice system play out on the world stage. There is a separate justice system for leaders of rich countries (that shields them from wrong doing) and one for poor countries. Justice is slow in dictatorships but when it does come, look out! Saddam met his end at the conclusion of a long fall with a short rope around his neck. Ceausescu (and his wife) found themselves on the wrong end of a firing squad without blindfolds.  Gaddafi was captured by a mob of rebels, beaten and shot. A few go on the dictator retirement plan and just fade away, see Pol Pot, Mubarak and Mau, never to face justice. U.S. Presidents who do terrible things; Nixon, Regan, George W. Bush, Obama, Trump (Not a complete list) go on speaking tours and cash in on their time in office. Why? 

Making the rules and sitting atop the world's most powerful military has advantages. We, the people, fail to hold them accountable. Hell, some get rewarded with re-election. There is the International Criminal Court but that's for other war criminals, not ours. Americans have a very self-centered view of the universe. Few of us can really imagine handing over our military war criminals (much less presidents) to such a body. The one world government will come for your guns next! So what to do? 

Start by raising awareness. The first step is admitting there is a problem. Ask those running for office about limiting powers and accountability. If we cannot or simply will not go the international route, what can be done here? I'm doubtful anything will happen on this front in my lifetime but let's at least start asking questions.         

Sunday, October 31, 2021

When Do Politicians become Criminally Negligent?


So a little while ago I started reading Preventable: The Inside Story of How Leadership Failures, Politics, and Selfishness Doomed the U.S. Coronavirus Response by Andy Slavitt. If you are a more visual type here ya go. The title tells you what it is all about. Out national level response to Covid-19 was utterly horrendous. When does it go from simple bad policy to criminal negligence at best, mass murder at worse? Our US justice system has two levels, one for the wealthy and one for the rest of us. Our two level justice system may have another tiny level on the wealthy end, one for politicians. George W. launched an entire war based on lies and... crickets. Obama expanded drone warfare in Afghanistan killing far more innocents than so called "bad guys." Again... crickets. And then along came The Donald.

Former President Trump managed to survive his one term without starting any new wars. He eased tensions on the Korean peninsula and treated the Russians with respect. His admiration for Vladi and Kim was cringeworthy to put it mildly. He looked good on camera roasting the media and may have coasted into a second term on a decent economy except for one thing- Coronavirus (Covid-19). A self-absorbed guy calling himself a billionaire may not be the best leadership choice when the shit gets real. 

We had the tools in place already set up by previous presidents, both Republican and Democrat, to deal with a pandemic. The Donald saw no need for such a thing Obama had left in place, it had to go (Because Obama thought it was a good idea? Who knows...). It does not take Covid-19 very long to set up shop and establish itself here in the US. Viruses could give two shits about travel bands, visas and borders. The war was on! Instead of making it us versus the virus, Donnie did his best to make it us VS each other. He down played it, called it a hoax and called for less testing to reduce our covid numbers (an absurdity), all-the-while knowing full well how dangerous it was. It started off in so-called blue states. Donnie (or someone in his inner circle of brilliance) had the bright idea to make this a Democrat problem. Covid could care less about party affiliation. When in a short time it became obvious this would not work, they had a new great idea, kick it to the states! Blame the states when it goes to shit. Hint- no state was ready or able to deal with something of this magnitude. The death toll piled up (along with the medical bills, businesses closing and disinformation).  The economy tanked as a reasonable person would expect and Trump continued down the ole sad river of denial. "It will go away this summer," "Like a miracle, it will be gone," "It's a hoax by the Democrats" blah, blah, blah. Remember, he told us (Via Bob Woodward) he damn well knew otherwise. Yup, bring on the crickets. He lost decisively to Joe Biden (and a whole new CON started-THE BIG LIE). So... is Trump criminally responsible for a good chunk of the covid deaths? I'd say YES! He's not the first politician to get a lot of people killed through catastrophically bad policy and he will not be the last.               

President George W. Bush sold us a shit-ton of lies to justify our illegal and unjust invasion of Iraq. Yes, the Iraqis had had WMD's before and even used them on their own citizens. But the program had died in the '90's. We allowed Saddam to survive Gulf War I and go on a murderous rampage afterward. Dick Chaney, of all people, was right to say marching on Bagdad would be a very bad idea back in '91. Let Saddam be and check Iran. We never ended our war on Iraq via sanctions and no-fly zones. Saddam and his goons could care less as thousands of everyday Iraqis died. And then...9/11. 

Why let such an opportunity go to waste? OBL was in Afghanistan so tie him to Saddam and get two wars for the price of one! The lies got bigger and bolder taking advantage of an enraged public demanding action. There was too little to blow up in Afghanistan that would look good on TV. Meanwhile, Iraq had it all- bridges, bases, tanks, an air force, power grids and lots of bunkers! It was the perfect location for a 24/7 news cycle war. I'm not a conspiracy theory person, but we would do well to remember some people got (and continue to get) filthy, filthy rich. American war crimes were glossed over or covered up completely (almost). Sooner or later, sunshine finds the truth. Where was justice? Punishing whistleblowers, where else? The politicians? Crickets...            

In school they teach us about this thing called Impeachment. It turns out one can be impeached for simply getting a blow job, sad. Later, when there were good reasons to use it, we found out what justice looks like in the hands of politicians. Party-line vote no matter the evidence. It is not even as good as a show trial or kangaroo court. There is no way to justice through Impeachment. There has to be a way to hold political types accountable to the law.

Sunday, October 24, 2021

Sleepwalking to a Unique American Authoritarianism

 


45 was only a rehearsal for the real Authoritarianism to come. He's a small, petty and vindictive man. Thankfully, he's not smart, organized or political savvy. The January 6th fiasco was going nowhere without the backing of the military, the American aristocracy or the courts. He had none. Corporations pulled their funding, he was kicked off of social media and laughed out of courtrooms all across the country. Nonetheless, he showed the way (and I could be making a mistake underestimating him).

I'm more worried about the next authoritarian who is flying under the political radar. This person is currently watching with glee as the Democrats flounder around not getting enough done to help anyone other than their own donor class. Yes, they got an extension on the unemployment and gave a shrug as it died this past September. $15.00 minimum wage? Nope. Protecting voting rights for all? Not so far. Any gun control measures? None. Medicare for all? HELL NO!!! They hide behind excuses (more like Republicans who happen to have a D next to their names), blame the other party and continue to maintain the status-quo no matter the cost. 

The Democrats are a complex lot- environmentalists, for-choice, pro-sane gun laws, economic justice fighters, workers for racial equality and many more subgroups I cannot think of. Then there are the Democrats who actually control the party, appointing candidates like Barak Obama, Hilary Clinton and Joe Biden. These are not your friends. They are appointed managers who keep the game going for as long as possible. Yes, the rigged game of casino capitalism must go on until all the ice has melted, every tree cut down and each blade of grass is at last commodified. Let's take a quick walk through the new hellscape to come, Ready?    

We have the tools in place to make propaganda great again! Take Soviet-style hypernormalization and move it forward forty or fifty years. Little to no food in the house? No job? No money? Feeling hopeless? It's 95 degrees outside on Christmas Eve in New York City? No! Everything is fine- the stock market is booming, our wars are going well and there is a new lottery for a ticket to Jeff Bezos' moon colony! You too can live with the stars! Hey, there's also an American rally tomorrow in your area. There will be football (complete with dissident executions at halftime), flyovers and fireworks. Our new stealth jets are so quiet and almost invisible. They are there because we say so! Don't believe your weak senses. They are there... Yes, the Dear Leader will say a few words. Oh, and free hotdogs and hamburgers, just don't ask what's in them. We got rid of those pesky ingredient regulations long ago. It is better not to ask anything. Anything you need to know, we will tell you. 

Can we do better? Can this possible future be avoided? 

Yes. The Democrats can help by passing a good infrastructure bill and start taking the clear threat to our democracy seriously. They MUST pass strong voter protection measures. Will they meet these challenges? It will take time. Maybe. But here's the thing. It is not up to the Democrats to defend / improve our democracy. It is really up to me and you. Challenge the false narratives of our creeping authoritarianism. Poor brown people are not your enemy, the 0.01% are. Education is your enemy. No, ignorance is far more dangerous. This is a Christian nation. No it is not. Thankfully we have no official religion (yet). "The 2020 election was stolen!" No, it was not. Donald J. Trump LOST to Joseph R. Biden. It is really that simple. To think otherwise is... delusional. 

Oh, and the courts can do something as well, maximum punishments for the terrorists of January 6, 2021. Anything less makes this a rehearsal for something far more evil in the not so distant future.        

                    


Monday, August 16, 2021

As The World Burns

 

Toasty 

Man, I feel like I could write for days and days about everything going wrong. Our slow graveyard spiral is transitioning rapidly into an unrecoverable flat spin. It is not too late to save ourselves but we are speeding past that point in short order (if we have not already). There's the covid pandemic which seems never ending. It is more complicated than anti-vexers, anti-maskers and shortsighted politicians. See also; for profit healthcare, crushing poverty and medical experiments on minorities. It is far more easy to blame the whole thing on right-wing nut jobs. Sure, they deserve some blame but like most serious problems, oversimplifications will not get us where we need to be. We continue to play under the table footsies with an American brand of Neo-fascism. Oh, more and more jobs are disappearing to technology and as of this writing no sure way to deal with the fallout. Will the unemployed unknowingly take the footsies game to first, second or third base? Will they go all the way with it? Not depressed yet? Allow me to share three larger issues. A quick look out the window tells me all is not well. 

View in New York City July 2021

Yeah, the sky is blue. Look closer. Notice the odd tint? Here in Greensboro, NC August 12th 2021 the sky looks similar to the picture above (maybe a little bluer but not a bright summer blue). That's ash from massive wildfires burning out of control all across the west. Wildfires are nothing new but what is new is the lengthening fire season and parade of record setting years of destruction. Yes friends, it is related to climate change. On the flip side are floods in Europe, China, USA and Australia. Floods are nothing new but what is, is each year setting more horrible records than the last.  And even the ocean currents cannot escape. Yup, looking grim indeed. The planet is doomed. Nope... it will keep on spinning around the sun which spins around the galactic center same as before. There will just be far fewer of us along for the ride. But wait! There's a faster way to kill off our civilization, much faster! 

BOOM!!

   

Then there is the quietly growing danger of nuclear war. The nuclear weapons club is growing slowly but steadily. We have come close to nuclear war but managed to inch back from the edge of doom. There has been countless near accidents and incidents of near Armageddon (LOW-- Launch On Warning). More and more countries are acquiring nuclear weapons technology. From there is is just simple math before something goes catastrophically wrong. Unlike climate change that unfolds over a few decades nuclear war can wipe out our entire civilization in a matter of days or even hours. If you happen to live through this, good luck. The Road is a powerful read but not a lifestyle you really want. Being Mad Max is no fun either. Good luck looking for safe food much less fuel five to ten years in. Just trying not to freeze to death will be a struggle. 

Income inequality plays a role in both disasters.

Follow the Money...

It may be a bit of a stretch but hear me out. A big driver of both the dire problems above come from growing income inequality. Resistance to understanding and dealing with climate change comes in large part from those who benefit from the status quo. It is short-term, civilization ending thinking. Change is our only constant. Those who fail to adapt, die. Fossil fuels and industrial farming will go. We still have a choice, the easier way or the hard way. The easier way is transitioning to cleaner energy (and yes kids, using a lot less energy, and food production that works with, not against nature. The hard way is to let Mother Nature take care of it.